Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000055 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108 0.000122
2024-12-29 0.000043 0.000055 0.000068 0.000083 0.000101 0.000121 0.000144
2025-01-05 0.000035 0.000048 0.000063 0.000083 0.000105 0.000132 0.000164
2025-01-12 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081 0.000107 0.000139 0.000178
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000037 0.000054 0.000077 0.000107 0.000143 0.000189
2025-01-26 0.000019 0.000033 0.000050 0.000075 0.000107 0.000148 0.000200
2025-02-02 0.000017 0.000031 0.000050 0.000077 0.000113 0.000158 0.000218
2025-02-09 0.000015 0.000028 0.000048 0.000076 0.000115 0.000165 0.000232
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000028 0.000049 0.000080 0.000123 0.000179 0.000255
2025-02-23 0.000012 0.000026 0.000047 0.000079 0.000124 0.000184 0.000267
2025-03-02 0.000010 0.000023 0.000043 0.000076 0.000123 0.000186 0.000273
2025-03-09 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000075 0.000124 0.000191 0.000286
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000126 0.000197 0.000300
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000073 0.000128 0.000205 0.000315
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000016 0.000037 0.000073 0.000130 0.000212 0.000331
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000014 0.000034 0.000071 0.000130 0.000216 0.000343
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000012 0.000032 0.000068 0.000128 0.000217 0.000349
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000011 0.000029 0.000066 0.000128 0.000220 0.000359
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000010 0.000029 0.000067 0.000133 0.000231 0.000380
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000009 0.000028 0.000067 0.000134 0.000237 0.000395
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000010 0.000029 0.000070 0.000142 0.000253 0.000424
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000009 0.000028 0.000069 0.000143 0.000258 0.000437
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000008 0.000026 0.000067 0.000141 0.000258 0.000443